This morning, actor Chris Pine and directors JJ Abrams and Alfonso Cuaron joined Academy President Cheryl Boone Isaacs to announce the 2015 Oscar nominees. But what’s on everyone’s mind is which films made the cut for the Best Picture award.

Last week, we listed off 15 films you should watch in order to be in-the-know for Oscar season. This year, an unusual number of movies cuffed the edge of the nominee circle – meaning, the final list could have gone multiple ways. “Birdman” and “Boyhood” were the only two agreed-upon sure things.

Here are the 2015 Best Picture nominees; start making your bets accordingly. The 87th Academy Awards, hosted by Neil Patrick Harris, will air on February 22. And for the record, my money’s on “Birdman.”

“American Sniper,” Clint Eastwood

“Boyhood,” Richard Linklater

“Birdman,”  Alejandro González Ińárritu

“The Grand Budapest Hotel,” Wes Anderson

“The Imitation Game,” Morten Tyldum

“Selma,” Ava DuVernay

“The Theory of Everything,” James Marsh

“Whiplash,” Damien Chazelle

Check out the complete list of nominees, including Best Director, Actor and Actress, here.